Advanced Advantage Play is now FREE on

Well, not exactly FREE … but AAP is being sold at the minimum price that Amazon will allow me to sell it so that people can by multiple copies, for example $18 per copy in the U.S., essentially meaning I am giving up nearly all the royaltees Amazon allows.

I plan on leaving the book at the minimum allowable price for the near future.  So, buy lots of copies — for friends, for relatives, for co-workers, for someone who annoys you, or if you work at a casino, for everyone who works in your casino.

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My Poetry Now Available on Amazon!

Buy Totally Disconnected on

In mathematics, totally disconnected refers to a type of topological space that you can look up on Wikipedia, if you’re into that kind of thing.  I worked extensively with a certain totally disconnected space for my Ph.D. dissertation.  This nuanced phrase has followed me through the years.

As I started writing poetry I realized that totally disconnected is a metaphor for how I seem to miss out on social signals that are obvious to most people.   I can’t remember the details of many of the most important events in my life.  I can’t recall names and faces.  Often, I can’t recall meeting people who seem to know me quite well.  Life is passing me by and I’m missing it. But, ask me to remember a phone number, that I can do!  Music, games and mathematics all come easily to me.  Yeah, it’s like that.

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World Game Protection Conference, 2022

Here’s the big news, maybe the biggest news in my casino-life since my retirement in 2017. I will be attending the 2022 World Game Protection Conference, held February 15-17 at the Tropicana in Las Vegas.

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Announcing: Baccarat Edge Calculator

I decided to create a very simple calculator to focus on the one thing players and casino surveillance care about the most — what is the edge when a player makes a wager. And so I give you, the Baccarat Edge Calculator:

This is an Excel spreadsheet that uses macros.  You can use this spreadsheet for real-time analysis of a shoe in progress, or you can use it to analyze a shoe after-the-fact.  It covers all the most popular baccarat variations as well as the most common side bets.  Full instructions and information is available in the spreadsheet to make it easy to understand and easy to use.

A full-featured spreadsheet that allows player analysis is also available, see the previously shared Baccarat Risk Analyzer .


Computer-Perfect Baccarat Play

[The original article is at  Many thanks to 888 for permission to repost this article here.]

I have recently been obsessing over computer-perfect play against the baccarat Tie bet and Pairs bet.  The current post takes computer-perfect baccarat to the next level. I am going to give the computer-perfect win-rates and other statistics for each of the Player, Banker and Tie bets for a variety of cut card placements. This will allow me to give an overall win-rate for a patron using a computer to play baccarat perfectly.

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Why Baccarat Card Counting Sucks

[This article appears at, but folks in some countries can’t access it.  Due to the popularity of this article, I am reposting it here. Gratitude to 888 for permission to re-post.]

From time to time the question of card counting in baccarat comes up. Because baccarat is dealt from a shoe, it follows that the odds for the banker/player/tie bets change as cards are dealt. As more and more cards are dealt, a counter will get an ever more precise estimation of the composition of the cards that remain. Continue reading