Category Archives: Yield Management

Statistical Blackjack Side Bet Analyzer (Video)


Blackjack side bets are often considered sucker bets. But there’s a lot more to them than that. Some can be card counted, some are beatable through exact calculations and some are fairly immune to advantage play.

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Announcing: Statistical Blackjack Side Bet Analyzer

I am announcing the release of a new statistical blackjack side bet analysis VBA Excel spreadsheet. You can find it in the downloads section of this blog, or just CLICK HERE.

This spreadsheet allows the user to compute the house edge for any pay table, any number of decks for a number of popular blackjack side bets.  In addition, this spreadsheet allows the user to input a custom shoe composition or to follow the play of a shoe in real-time and get updated edges after each hand.  This facilitates computation of EORs to develop counting systems, assists online play and also allows surveillance to assess if a player is using a system to get an edge.

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Baccarat Risk Analyzer — Full Release

Exciting news! I have completed what I consider to be the first “full release” of the Statistical Baccarat Analyzer and Baccarat Shoe Risk Analysis spreadsheets. You can download the latest version here:

DOWNLOAD Baccarat Risk Analysis Spreadsheet

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The Big Bet in Blackjack

A player seated at a blackjack table suddenly places a large bet and the dealer calls out “cheques play!”  The skill level of the player needs to be established.   The usual way to do this is to study the player’s bets and play to determine if he is counting cards.  If so, appropriate actions may be taken against the player.  However, there are many ways to beat blackjack that have nothing to do with card counting.  Among these are shuffle tracking, edge sorting, collusion, card marking and hole-card play.  None of these players will be detected by the usual approach.

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